Crypto and stock markets are usually forward-looking. Meaning, traders tend to ignore the near-term negatives and focus on the positives down the line. With Bitcoin’s
BTC
$22,699
next halving in 2024, analysts are shifting their attention to this event.
Independent market analyst Rekt Capital highlighted this unique market dynamic, noting that in the year before the past two halving events, in 2015 and 2019, Bitcoin rallied 234% and 316%, respectively. If history repeats itself, Bitcoin’s price action may spring a surprise in 2023.
However, the near-term remains uncertain and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Jan. 12 may lead to a sharp uptick in volatility.
Some analysts are skeptical of the growing dominance of altcoin trading volume, which is above 50%. According to CryptoQuant contributor Maartunn, the altcoin dominance warns of “a potential risk for further downside.”
Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360One event that is being closely tracked is the crisis brewing at the Digital Currency Group (DCG). Galaxy Digital Holdings CEO Mike Novogratz said in an interview with CNBC on Jan. 10 that the DCG, Genesis and Gemini overhang could “play out in the next quarter.” Though it is “not going to be great,” Novogratz does not believe it will trigger “a lot of selling.”
Could Bitcoin and altcoins continue their recovery or will higher levels attract strong selling? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.